“Who are my most profitable customers?”
“How do I get more customers like XYZ?”
“How many customers like XYZ are out there?”
“Am I building for the right portion of the market?”
“What’s the overall market opportunity?”
“How much of the market have we captured already?”
Founders build from their personal experience, but the application is likely more broad.
Over time, customers will begin to use your product in ways you did not anticipate
Expansion is the key to sustainable growth.
You’re over-indexing time spent on those with low willingness to pay.
Build a matrix
To begin the segmentation process, it’s helpful to think about constructing a matrix. The matrix centers on the two most critical but unique needs, values and attitudes that drive customers when they look for a solution in the market. Settling on the most compelling differences that ensure each customer fits into one segment (and one segment only) takes a lot of trial and error. At Frame.io, we landed on: Is video primary to the company’s revenue (yes, no)? How painful is collaborating today (low, medium, high)? These axes generate a matrix with 6 segments, which we laid out as follows:
Define segment characteristics
The next step is to populate each segment’s characteristics. For Frame.io, the characteristics included: # video team members # of distinct teams # concurrent video projects Sensitivity of video content Industry Key decision-maker(s) Creative software budget Average MRR Frame.io’s matrix with important segment characteristics.
Add existing customers to segments
After defining your segments and their characteristics, the next step is segmenting your existing customers – or a least a representative sample. Replace “XYZ” with your current customers.
Analyze behavior by segment
Once you’ve segmented your existing customers, it can be eye opening to analyze behavior or contribution to key business metrics by segment. At Frame.io, we dug into the following: # of accounts on a free plan # of accounts on a paid plan Contribution to total ARR Churn rate Most common plan Account seats Feature usage We found very interesting results. As mentioned before, we determined the segment Individual Creatives comprised 80% of total accounts, but only 25% of revenue and they tended to churn at 4X the rate of other segments.
Identify quantity of potential entities
You can use the characteristics of existing customers to identify new prospects. This process will differ for B2C companies vs. B2B companies. At Frame.io, we leveraged a combination of industry (utilizing NAICS and SIC codes) and employee range to search for the quantity of potential companies that could use Frame.io. There are some great firmographic data resources out there that can help with this. At Frame.io we leveraged ZoomInfo, but Dun & Bradstreet is another excellent option. If you’re a B2C company, more industry and trend research may be required to identify the population with similar demographics and behaviors. Once you’ve determined the volume of potential customers, it’s helpful to lay them out in a chart like the one below for comparison.
Calculate potential value
After determining how many potential customers exists, the next step is to determine how much, on average, each customer can pay you in a given year. You can use existing customer spend as a proxy, but you’ll likely undervalue their spend potential. As a growth stage company, you’re likely to drive more engagement from existing customers and introduce on add-ons that can be cross-sold over time, increasing your potential revenue. At Frame.io, we used a combination of the following metrics to determine potential ARR Employee size % of employees involved in video Average seat price
Calculate market opportunity
Calculating the market opportunity is simply the sum of the product of potential entities and their potential value. Once you complete this step, it’s also helpful to layout the relative opportunity by segment in a chart like the one below. What stands out is the fact that the market opportunity by segment is completely different than the volume of entities by segment.
Identify your market penetration
To answer that initial question, “how much of the market have we captured already?”, you can simply compare current ARR to the potential ARR. For growth stage companies, it’s often a pleasant surprise to see just how little of a market has already been captured and what remaining opportunity exists.
Develop a segment fit index by competitor
How well do you and your competitors currently serve each segment of the market today? To determine a “segment fit” index requires a solid understanding of customers’ needs and your competitors’ offerings. Once you’ve completed that research, you can record segment fit in a chart like the one that follows this paragraph.
This exercise helps answer the following questions:
Who do you best serve today? Who do you need to serve better? Where do you face the most competition? You’ll naturally start to list the features or offerings you need to bring to market to better serve those underserved segments. The next question is how much investment is required to bring your offering up to par or exceed your competition in a given segment.
As a growth phase company, the most important action you can take for success is to spend your time and resources on the activities and customers who will drive the most outsized impact for your business.